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- <text id=91TT0462>
- <title>
- Mar. 04, 1991: The Great Office Giveaway
- </title>
- <history>
- TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1991
- Mar. 04, 1991 Into Kuwait!
- </history>
- <article>
- <source>Time Magazine</source>
- <hdr>
- BUSINESS, Page 64
- The Great Office Giveaway
- </hdr><body>
- <p>A year's free rent! Free renovations! Across the U.S., landlords
- will offer almost anything if you'll just--please--sign
- a lease.
- </p>
- <p> You can say this for the country's real estate promoters:
- even in the worst of times they are unsinkably optimistic.
- Yodels Jerry Lumsden, a property broker in Austin whose 27%
- office vacancy rate is among the highest in Texas: "The trend
- line is good." The Lone Star State, like the rest of America,
- is reeling from what many experts consider the most glutted
- commercial real estate market since the 1930s. The culprit: the
- 1980s, of course, during which U.S. office space doubled, to
- 5.38 billion sq. ft. In city after city the industry is over
- leveraged, overbuilt and underleased. At 540 million sq. ft.,
- the unrented space across the country equals the total space
- available in 10 Bostons. That translates into an annual
- industry loss of $65 billion in lost property values. Downtown
- vacancy rates are at a record high 17% nationally, twice their
- historic levels.
- </p>
- <p> Some cities are virtual disaster areas. San Bernardino, glut
- capital of America, has a commercial vacancy rate of 33%. Next
- come New Haven (30%) and Springfield, Mass., and New Orleans
- (both 28%). Even in posh Beverly Hills, the rate is so high
- (25%) that city officials journeyed to the Orient in January
- to try to woo prospective tenants. Bucking the trend are a few
- lucky cities, most of them sleepy state capitals that hotshot
- dealmakers bypassed in the '80s. Among them: Lansing, Mich.
- (10%), Albany (9.6%), Raleigh, N.C. (9.4%) and Sacramento
- (6.7%).
- </p>
- <p> The office glut is in some ways just another broken leg of
- the savings and loan crisis. Many thrifts went bust by tossing
- money into high-rises that never should have been built in the
- first place. As a result, few analysts expect a rebound soon.
- In the suburbs of Chicago, a virtual shutdown of new
- construction since 1989 has failed to budge the vacancy rate,
- now between 15% and 20%. "When will lenders lend again?"
- wonders Hugh Kelly, an economist and real estate consultant.
- "For some major markets, vacancy rates will have to fall well
- below 10% before the money spigots get turned back on."
- </p>
- <p> Of course, one man's glut is another man's glee. Office
- renters everywhere are demanding and getting deep discounts,
- huge renovation allowances and better services. In Manhattan,
- where the rate of empties is 14%, some renters receive a full
- year rent-free plus a one-time allowance of $60 to $100 per sq.
- ft. for improvements. In Boston (16%), one of the city's
- largest law firms, Hale and Dorr, has been threatening for
- months to move to new quarters. Last week the nervous landlord
- persuaded the company to stay put at $20 per sq. ft.--40%
- less than the rent Hale paid in 1989. "It's the worst
- overbuilding in my 22 years in the business," complains Richard
- Reynolds, a Boston developer.
- </p>
- <p> A few markets, such as Houston, got overbuilt so many years
- ago that demand is finally catching up with supply. An 18-story
- office building owned by Exxon's real estate subsidiary is
- rising from the ashes of the city's north side--the first
- major new commercial structure in five years--and it is
- already mostly rented. Other skyscrapers, long mothballed,
- report 70% to 90% occupancy, evidence that the economy is
- reviving, diversifying and depending less on swings in oil
- prices. But Houston's vacancy rate is still a painful 25%, with
- even heavier vacancies in lower-quality buildings.
- </p>
- <p> Much of America's excess office space is in the hands of
- federal caretakers--hundreds of office buildings and
- luxurious high-rises built by starry-eyed developers whose
- failures wiped out their S&L lenders. Just when the feds don't
- need it, a new small-is-good trend may make unloading those
- glass-sheathed monsters even harder. "Plush offices are out,"
- insists Dallas broker Wayne Swearingen. "It's not in vogue to
- show how rich you are." Or were.
- </p>
- <p>By Richard Behar. Reported by William McWhirter/Chicago and
- Richard Woodbury/Houston.
- </p>
-
- </body></article>
- </text>
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